BOLD predictions review

Andrew:
1. Pomeranz is the A's #1 SP
Oh no. Oh Lord no.  He wasn't even IN the rotation by the end of the season!

2. Albert Pujols >33 HR
COUNT IT! In spite of a sagging average and abysmal BABIP, Pujols did manage to slam 40 HR.

3. Phil Hughes is a top 12 SP
This was also terrible.  By player rater, Phil Hughes was 51st.

4. Michael Saunders has >40 HR+SB.
Saunders managed exactly 0 HR and SB, so I was only one digit off!  He did not even manage 40 PA.

5. Luke Gregerson is a top 5 closer
Near miss.  Gregerson finished as the 6th closer, but was only 0.07 player rater points behind number 5, Scott Tolleson.

1/5, plus close miss.

Bill
1. Zach Britton is a top 5 closer with a K/9 over 9.
Britton was just as amazing as Bill expected.

2. Drew Hutchison has 200 K, is top 20 SP
Hutchison was a tire fire.  

3. Brad Boxberger has 30 saves or 110 K
He had some ugly rate stats, the WHIP of 1.37 in particular, but Boxberger notched 41 saves.

4. Chris Sale >227 K
Sale led the AL with 274Ks and was outstanding.

5. Hanley Ramirez has 200 R+RBI
This was not meant to be.

3/5, but Bill's misses were pretty spectacular.  Not Saunders spectacular, but still spectacular.

Caleb
1. Dustin Pedroia is a top 3 2B
Pedroia didn't even finish as the top 2B on his team, as he was narrowly edged out by BROCK HOLT!  Injuries were the big issue here, as Pedroia, when healthy, did manage to have his highest HR/FB since 2011 and ISO since 2012.

2. George Springer >55 HR + SB
Springer, like Pedroia, was undone by injuries.  He did manage to go 16HR/16SB in 450 plate appearances, but even scaling up, Springer was short of Caleb's target of 55.

3. Shane Greene is the best <$3 pitcher
Greene imploded fairly spectacularly as the season progressed and finished 148th in the player rater.  The best <$3 pitcher probably had to go to Carlos Rodon.  That said, on the whole, the drafted pitchers under $3 were really bad and were bested by many waiver players.

4. Kole Calhoun and Leonys Martin are both top 10 OF
Leonys Martin killed this one so hard, but even Kole Calhoun couldn't crack the top 10.  He finished at 16th.

5. Napoli hits 25 HR and has a player rater >4.79
Napoli did manage 18 HR in 460 PA, but a terrible average and lackluster counting stats pulled his overall player rater line down to 0.41.


0/5, and Caleb didn't even come close on any of them.

Luke
1) Team finishes #1 in W
Luke's team finished 2nd to last in wins, showing that predicting wins is a fools errand.

2) Donaldson hits 0.280, 30HR, and 200 R +RBI
Donaldson blew Luke's bold prediction clear out of the water, hitting 0.297, 41HR, and 245 R + RBI.

3) 6 players on starting roster go 10/10 HR/SB
 Only two players on Luke's drafted team managed to go 10/10-- Brantley and Gardner.  His other possibilities fell short to due injuries, ineffectiveness, or both (see Shane Victorino)

4) Michael Brantley bests his 2014 line in at least one category
Brantley was dinged up all year and finished short of his 2014 stats in every category.

5) Adam LaRoche hits >34HR  
Adam LaRoche, before his whole "Let's have my 14 year old spend his entire fucking life in the clubhouse instead of school" plan blew up his 2016 season, blew up his own 2015 season with a preposterously bad 0.207/0.293/0.340 line and only 12 HR.  He didn't even manage 34 extra base hits. 
1/5, but BOY did Luke nail that one.


So, overall, we hit on 25% of our predictions.  Seems about right, but man oh man we all had spectacular failures in there.  Unsurprisingly, the league champion had the best predictions.  Who is ready to go out there and make theirs for this season?