Down 3 points with 1 day to go isn't the best situation to be in, but it still could come down to the wire. I need:
1. A bad start by Shields, bad enough to bump up Caleb's ERA 0.02, tying him with me. (+0.5, Caleb loses 0.5)
2. Bad starts by Wakefield and Baker, bad enough to bump up Andrew's WHIP by 0.01. I'll take 0.02, but I don't want to get greedy. (+0.5)
3. I hit 2 more homeruns than Andrew today (+1).
4. I have 2 more RBI than Andrew today (+1).
Alternative, less likely ways I can pick up points are:
1. Vulture a win from a reliever, and none of Caleb's starters win (Shields), and none of Mark's starters win (Millwood, Saunders) (+1, Caleb loses 0.5, Mark loses 0.5)
2. Get a save from all 3 of my closers, while none of Caleb's get a save (+0.5, Caleb loses 0.5).
I guess mostly I'm hoping for a big offensive day across the league, and that my players eek it out against Andrew's. Caleb and I are going head to head in a couple categories, but it really comes down to my team against Andrew's on the final day.
2 comments:
how much are the WHIP's and ERA's bumping around day-to-day? still enough that a few bad starts will make an impact?
ERA, absolutely. A bad start is changing ERA by 0.03 or more. WHIP's been much more stable.
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